Public timeline
Notices
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@ramanan Prof. Mitchell has written some brilliant, memorable articles. With due respect, this is not one of them.
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Goldman Sachs says Australian house prices not in speculative bubble, only 30% overvalued http://www.businessspectator.com.au/bs.nsf/Article/House-prices-severely-overvalued-report-pd20100909-95B5K?opendocument
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exploding interest payments to foreigners - my comments here http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=11436
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A bit more detail on the Protovis Loader plugin for Wordpress: http://bit.ly/cLPpz1 #data #charts
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@magpie ultimately I think the only thing they would consider vital would be staying in power
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@sean You've got a point there. The "great moral challenge" and the RSPT fiasco.
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@magpie other than supply, I don't know what would be so vital that they would go to the polls, unless they were confident of a victory. After all, the "greatest moral challenge of our time" wasn't vital enough!
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@sean Any basic, introductory (kinda "Modal Logic for Dummies") resources on the net on that topic?
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@michaeltstrss76 not really the idea of this place
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@sean If it was vital for them, they might be forced to.
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@magpie absolutely I could see that happen, but that wouldn't be enough to go to an election unless Labor wanted to
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@sean I know. But that's not what I was asking. Let me put it this way: can you conceive any scenario where the 3 Amigos would side with the Coalition in the House against a law projected vital to Labor?
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@magpie all I can claim is a passing familiarity with modal logic. I get the impression it is more the domain of philosophers than mathematicians these days.
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@magpie Abbott cannot force a return to the polls, unless someone peels away from supporting the Govt on supply and confidence motions
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@sean Hey Stubborn, let me ask you something as a mathematician: are you good at modal logic?
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@sean I see what you mean. A Greens/Labour alliance could, by themselves, approve laws at the Senate, but at the House the situation is more complex: the 3 Amigos + Wilkie didn't promise support. Could Abbott push Labor to a double dissolution?
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@magpie it is in the interests of the independents to make it last, so it has a reasonable chance
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@sean Well, I think that the prediction that the Govt is going to have a hard time is quite safe: just a continuation of what happened since Abbott took charge. But, it will make it to 2013?
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@magpie it will be an interesting 3 years. I think that the Govt will survive and some legislation will get through (eg NBN), but some things will be a struggle.
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@sean Well, I'll be damned. I was expecting all three to side with Abbott. But I can see the point of Katter siding w Abbott, while the other two go w Gillard. Okay, predictors, any comments on how the next 3 years will play?
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