Stubborn Mule (mule)

User profile

Photo
mule
Nickname
mule
Full name
Stubborn Mule
Location
Sydney, Australia
URL
http://www.stubbornmule.net
Note
Blogger with a passion for dispassionate analysis.
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  1. New post: The Art of Conversation http://bit.ly/ck7BgP !mule

    about 4 days ago from twitterfeed at Sydney, N.S.W, Australia
  2. New post: Emissions League Tables http://bit.ly/cjlgg6 !mule

    about 17 days ago from twitterfeed at Sydney, N.S.W, Australia
  3. New post: When will Julia go to the polls? http://bit.ly/92JQ25 !mule

    about a month ago from twitterfeed at Sydney, N.S.W, Australia
  4. New post: RSPT RIP – Long Live the MRRT http://bit.ly/9nTu4B !mule

    about a month ago from twitterfeed at Sydney, N.S.W, Australia
  5. Poll: The Australian Federal Election will be held when? http://poll.fm/210rk (blog post to follow)

    about a month ago from web at Leichhardt, N.S.W, Australia in context
  6. New post: Surf http://bit.ly/9ygDX7 !mule

    about a month ago from twitterfeed at Sydney, N.S.W, Australia
  7. New post: The Monty Hall Problem http://bit.ly/d1CCPX !mule

    about a month ago from twitterfeed at Sydney, N.S.W, Australia
  8. @magpie it helps when I have guest authors like @zebra

    about a month ago from tweetie at Sydney, N.S.W, Australia in context
  9. New post: High-frequency trading http://bit.ly/d5m50r !mule

    about a month ago from twitterfeed at Sydney, N.S.W, Australia in context
  10. New post: RSPT – A Fair Valuation Based on True Value of Existing Mines http://bit.ly/dbPUYw !mule

    about 2 months ago from twitterfeed at Sydney, N.S.W, Australia
  11. @senexx hard to judge the probability of Mr Smith being a wise ass ;) But, maybe this will help: http://bit.ly/aZvMBr

    about 2 months ago from web at Melbourne, Victoria, Australia in context
  12. @senexx but why can you treat BG/GB the same when you rule out GG but not before you rule it out?

    about 2 months ago from web at Melbourne, Victoria, Australia in context
  13. @robbie as would I! /cc @mark

    about 2 months ago from web at Melbourne, Victoria, Australia in context
  14. @senexx part of the difficulty is that we are attempting to apply probability to the real world. The maths is all fine & consistent, applications are tricky...that's when (sometimes heroic) assumptions are required. /cc @mark

    about 2 months ago from web at Melbourne, Victoria, Australia in context
  15. New post: Eliminating the irrelevant http://bit.ly/cNIdXq !mule

    about 2 months ago from twitterfeed at Sydney, N.S.W, Australia in context
  16. @senexx I can't help myself!

    about 2 months ago from tweetie at Sydney, N.S.W, Australia in context
  17. New post: Tuesday’s Child http://bit.ly/cxM64j !mule

    about 2 months ago from twitterfeed at Sydney, N.S.W, Australia in context
  18. @senexx fortunately, the adrenaline of being the contestant rather than the audience at home holds your attention... ;)

    about 2 months ago from web at Melbourne, Victoria, Australia in context
  19. @senexx fair enough

    about 2 months ago from web at Melbourne, Victoria, Australia in context
  20. @senexx would you have the same view if there were 100 doors at the start and the host opened doors one by one, each showing a goat until there was only yours and one other closed door left?

    about 2 months ago from web at Melbourne, Victoria, Australia in context
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